Our Autonomous Of Charge of charge Enterprise economic system requires that in order for a person to participate in the fruits of the economy they must be gainfully employed. This system has served us well, leading to incredible invention, innovation, and a bounty of goods and services available to us. However what if there are human beings capable, willing, and nervous to be gainfully employed, however there are not enough jobs for all of the applicants? Are those human beings then doomed to be left on the sidelines, outcasts destined to poverty?
This is not a fresh situation. We have had dramatic “Sea Alter” transformations in labor markets through history. A hundred and fifty years ago, nearly 80% of working Americans made their living working on farms desperately trying to produce enough to keep us all fed and clothed. Over the years, improvements in seeds, fertilizers, techniques, and mechanization have eliminated the demand for nearly all of the farmers. Today, less than 3% of us produce more farm crops than we know what to do with.
So what happened to the 77% of us that were outside of a job as a farmer? Were we left as unemployed waifs? No, we went to employment in factories, producing the cornucopia of goods that define modern lifetime. We went to employment building roads, houses, and commercial buildings.
At that age, most women with the typical family of six or eight children, hauling aqua from the well, wood for the stove and the furnace, and scrubbing clothes on a washboard, had all they could handle running a household. However by the middle of the 20th century, with declining family sizes, hot and cold running aqua, refrigerators, washers, dryers, etc., running a household stopped to be a job for millions of women, and they joined the labor energy.
So did that leave millions of human beings without a job? No. We stopped working 6 days a week, 10 hours a day, 60 hours a week at our jobs. We changed to a average employment week of 40 hours. We made that transformation a affair of code, requiring employers to pay “age and a half” for any hours beyond 40 a week. This, of direction, has been a excellent body! It has given us age to delight in with our families and friends, and to pursue leisure activities, sports, and other interests.
By the latter part of the century, a combination of phenomenal developments in technology, increased productivity, and importing more of our factory goods from countries with a lower wage scale, caused us to drop from a peak of more than 40 % of us working in factories until today only about 13% of us do so. The U.S. is still far and away the largest manufacturing nation in the earth — it just doesn’t require very many human beings to accomplish it.
There have been many other shifts in the requirement for labor. What happened to the thousands of boys pumping gas, immediately that we pump it ourselves? Pin boys at the bowling alley, or caddies at the golf direction? There were millions of human beings employed repairing things. Immediately, like the lonely Maytag repairman, there are less and less of them needed since most appliances, electronics, shoes, etc. are disposable; and other items like automobiles demand less and less maintenance. Many occupations that employed hundreds of thousands of human beings have been transformed. There are no stenographers, communications are all via e-letter and are typed directly by the human beings communicating. When retail consisted of small shops on Main Street, it required a fantastic many human beings to provide supply to the customers. As the shops were replaced by the Huge Box stores, the number of human beings needed in retailing dropped dramatically. And immediately we are replacing more and more of all stores with On-Border shopping, where a hardly any robotic stock picking machines in a national warehouse can fulfill thousands of orders an hour.
I subscribe to a newspaper and news magazines, however my kids don’t. All of the jobs associated with reporting, writing, printing, and distributing newspapers and news magazines will disappear. Paper books are being replaced by e-books at an alarming rate, another transformational technology, and major textbook store chains are already closing. My kids don’t have land border telephones, another industry that will go by the path. They don’t have a closet complete of suits and ties and dresses, and clothes that demand to go to the cleaners. Physical delivery systems for music or movies will all soon join that pile of ancient vinyl records in the corner of the antique store. The US Advertise Office is immediately in the business of delivering catalogs and flyers, and they can’t cover their costs doing it. They still deliver some bills and statements, however the bills are paid on border, and it’s only a affair of age before mailing paper bills and statements is relegated to history, and the Advertise Office along with it.
As for construction, we have constructed more houses and commercial buildings than we have human beings to occupy them.
We have been working since the dawn of the Industrial revolution to constitute more goods and services with less and less labor. We have succeeded!
And, It is clear that part of the solution to the difficulty of having a massive number of retired human beings to be supported by a shrinking number of working human beings, is that we will all be working additional years before retirement, adding millions of more human beings to the labor energy.
We have arrived at another of those “Sea Alter” transformations, where the prospect is simply not going to gaze like the past. We are desperately trying to constitute jobs by stimulating the economy with massive Administration deficit spending (and massive debt) in the hope that we can regain complete employment if only the economy grows quicker. Perhaps then, everyone will have a job.
They won’t !
The continual “stimulus” may constitute another boom, to be followed by another bust, however it will not alter the circumstance that we simply do not have a demand for the amount of labor available. We will never again demand to have 80% of us working on farms. We will never again demand to have 40% of us working in factories. We simply have more employment hours available than there is any demand for.
We already have more “stuff” in our lives than we know what to do with. Yes, we can have six different kinds of sneakers in our closet for our six different activities. We can constitute jobs for human beings cutting our finger and toe nails, mowing our lawns, and supervising our workout at the gym. However we still can’t constitute enough employment to gainfully employ everyone for all the employment hours that are available. When we talk about “doing our part for the economy” we talk about consuming more, not about producing more.
It is age to wake up, recognize reality, and talk about how we can reorganize our society so that everyone can be employed, by everyone working less. That is not a terrible body – it is a excellent body! Isn’t that what we have been working for and hoping for? Haven’t we dreamed of more age to do the things we really desire to do. Age for family and friends. Age to pursue the activities that we delight in.
There might be a number of ways to go about this, however the quickest path to achieve it is the same path we have come to accept a 40 hour employment week as “average” with “age and a half” pay for hours worked beyond that. Simply legislate a average 44 week employment year, with “age and a half” for additional age worked, and 8 weeks paid vacation for each employee. And companies will demand to hire substantially more employees to fill their staffing requirements. If all companies in an industry are all subject to the same rules, they will simply raise their prices to cover their additional costs, the same as they do immediately when the costs of their raw materials rise, or other costs increase. They will still be in the same competitive position. And for us collectively as a nation, the additional cost of goods will be offset by not having the cost of a society where a substantial part of us are not and can not be gainfully employed, and demand to be supported by society.
More on this topic and other thought provoking topics in the highly acclaimed poignant witty book “Running Amok – Our Grandchildren will Curse Us” by Dave Rosenak. Check out the web site http://www.RunningAmokTheBook.com/ Whether you think the book will start a revolution, or whether you think the author should stick all of his stinking opinions back where the sun don’t shine, you won’t be bored
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